Journal Article > ResearchAbstract
Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg. 2010 November 13; Volume 105 (Issue 1); DOI:10.1016/j.trstmh.2010.10.001
Luque Fernandez MA, Mason PR, Gray H, Bauernfeind A, Maes P
Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg. 2010 November 13; Volume 105 (Issue 1); DOI:10.1016/j.trstmh.2010.10.001
This ecological study describes the cholera epidemic in Harare during 2008-2009 and identifies patterns that may explain transmission. Rates ratios of cholera cases by suburb were calculated by a univariate regression Poisson model and then, through an Empirical Bayes modelling, smoothed rate ratios were estimated and represented geographically. Mbare and southwest suburbs of Harare presented higher rate ratios. Suburbs attack rates ranged from 1.2 (95% Cl = 0.7-1.6) cases per 1000 people in Tynwald to 90.3 (95% Cl = 82.8-98.2) in Hopley. The identification of this spatial pattern in the spread, characterised by low risk in low density residential housing, and a higher risk in high density south west suburbs and Mbare, could be used to advocate for improving water and sanitation conditions and specific preparedness measures in the most affected areas.
Journal Article > ResearchFull Text
PLOS One. 2014 December 8; Volume 9 (Issue 12); DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0114702
Polonsky JA, Martinez-Pino I, Nackers F, Chonzi P, Manangazira P, et al.
PLOS One. 2014 December 8; Volume 9 (Issue 12); DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0114702
Typhoid fever remains a significant public health problem in developing countries. In October 2011, a typhoid fever epidemic was declared in Harare, Zimbabwe - the fourth enteric infection epidemic since 2008. To orient control activities, we described the epidemiology and spatiotemporal clustering of the epidemic in Dzivaresekwa and Kuwadzana, the two most affected suburbs of Harare.
Journal Article > ResearchFull Text
Vaccine. 2022 June 9; Volume S0264-410X (Issue 22); 00552-7.; DOI:10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.04.093
Lightowler M, Manangazira P, Nackers F, Van Herp M, Phiri I, et al.
Vaccine. 2022 June 9; Volume S0264-410X (Issue 22); 00552-7.; DOI:10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.04.093
BACKGROUND
Zimbabwe suffers from regular outbreaks of typhoid fever (TF), worse since 2017. Most cases were in Harare and a vaccination campaign with Typhoid Conjugate Vaccine (TCV) was conducted in March 2019. The vaccine effectiveness (VE) was assessed against culture-confirmed S. Typhi in children six months to 15 years and in individuals six months to 45 years in Harare.
METHODS
A matched case-control study was conducted in three urban suburbs of Harare targeted by the TCV vaccination campaign. Suspected TF cases were enrolled prospectively in four health facilities and were matched to facility (1:1) and community (1:5) controls.
FINDINGS
Of 504 suspected cases from July 2019 to March 2020, 148 laboratory-confirmed TF cases and 153 controls confirmed-negative were identified. One hundred and five (47 aged six months to 15 years) cases were age, sex, and residence matched with 105 facility-based controls while 96 cases were matched 1:5 by age, sex, and immediate-neighbour with 229 community controls.
The adjusted VE against confirmed TF was 75% (95%CI: 1–94, p = 0.049) compared to facility controls, and 84% (95%CI: 57–94, p < 0.001) compared to community controls in individuals six months to 15 years. The adjusted VE against confirmed TF was 46% (95%CI: 26–77, p = 0.153) compared to facility controls, and 67% (95%CI: 35–83, p = 0.002) compared to community controls six months to 45 years old.
INTERPRETATION
This study confirms that one vaccine dose of TCV is effective to control TF in children between six months and 15 years old in an African setting.
Zimbabwe suffers from regular outbreaks of typhoid fever (TF), worse since 2017. Most cases were in Harare and a vaccination campaign with Typhoid Conjugate Vaccine (TCV) was conducted in March 2019. The vaccine effectiveness (VE) was assessed against culture-confirmed S. Typhi in children six months to 15 years and in individuals six months to 45 years in Harare.
METHODS
A matched case-control study was conducted in three urban suburbs of Harare targeted by the TCV vaccination campaign. Suspected TF cases were enrolled prospectively in four health facilities and were matched to facility (1:1) and community (1:5) controls.
FINDINGS
Of 504 suspected cases from July 2019 to March 2020, 148 laboratory-confirmed TF cases and 153 controls confirmed-negative were identified. One hundred and five (47 aged six months to 15 years) cases were age, sex, and residence matched with 105 facility-based controls while 96 cases were matched 1:5 by age, sex, and immediate-neighbour with 229 community controls.
The adjusted VE against confirmed TF was 75% (95%CI: 1–94, p = 0.049) compared to facility controls, and 84% (95%CI: 57–94, p < 0.001) compared to community controls in individuals six months to 15 years. The adjusted VE against confirmed TF was 46% (95%CI: 26–77, p = 0.153) compared to facility controls, and 67% (95%CI: 35–83, p = 0.002) compared to community controls six months to 45 years old.
INTERPRETATION
This study confirms that one vaccine dose of TCV is effective to control TF in children between six months and 15 years old in an African setting.
Protocol > Research Study
Fernandez MAL, Schomaker M, Mason PR, Fesselet JF, Baudot Y, et al.
2012 June 18
BACKGROUND
In highly populated African urban areas where access to clean water is a challenge, water source contamination is one of the most cited risk factors in a cholera epidemic. During the rainy season, where there is either no sewage disposal or working sewer system, runoff of rains follows the slopes and gets into the lower parts of towns where shallow wells could easily become contaminated by excretes. In cholera endemic areas, spatial information about topographical elevation could help to guide preventive interventions. This study aims to analyze the association between topographic elevation and the distribution of cholera cases in Harare during the cholera epidemic in 2008 and 2009.
METHODS
We developed an ecological study using secondary data. First, we described attack rates by suburb and then calculated rate ratios using whole Harare as reference. We illustrated the average elevation and cholera cases by suburbs using geographical information. Finally, we estimated a generalized linear mixed model (under the assumption of a Poisson distribution) with an Empirical Bayesian approach to model the relation between the risk of cholera and the elevation in meters in Harare. We used a random intercept to allow for spatial correlation of neighboring suburbs.
RESULTS
This study identifies a spatial pattern of the distribution of cholera cases in the Harare epidemic, characterized by a lower cholera risk in the highest elevation suburbs of Harare. The generalized linear mixed model showed that for each 100 meters of increase in the topographical elevation, the cholera risk was 30% lower with a rate ratio of 0.70 (95% confidence interval=0.66-0.76). Sensitivity analysis confirmed the risk reduction with an overall estimate of the rate ratio between 20% and 40%.
CONCLUSION
This study highlights the importance of considering topographical elevation as a geographical and environmental risk factor in order to plan cholera preventive activities linked with water and sanitation in endemic areas. Furthermore, elevation information, among other risk factors, could help to spatially orientate cholera control interventions during an epidemic.
In highly populated African urban areas where access to clean water is a challenge, water source contamination is one of the most cited risk factors in a cholera epidemic. During the rainy season, where there is either no sewage disposal or working sewer system, runoff of rains follows the slopes and gets into the lower parts of towns where shallow wells could easily become contaminated by excretes. In cholera endemic areas, spatial information about topographical elevation could help to guide preventive interventions. This study aims to analyze the association between topographic elevation and the distribution of cholera cases in Harare during the cholera epidemic in 2008 and 2009.
METHODS
We developed an ecological study using secondary data. First, we described attack rates by suburb and then calculated rate ratios using whole Harare as reference. We illustrated the average elevation and cholera cases by suburbs using geographical information. Finally, we estimated a generalized linear mixed model (under the assumption of a Poisson distribution) with an Empirical Bayesian approach to model the relation between the risk of cholera and the elevation in meters in Harare. We used a random intercept to allow for spatial correlation of neighboring suburbs.
RESULTS
This study identifies a spatial pattern of the distribution of cholera cases in the Harare epidemic, characterized by a lower cholera risk in the highest elevation suburbs of Harare. The generalized linear mixed model showed that for each 100 meters of increase in the topographical elevation, the cholera risk was 30% lower with a rate ratio of 0.70 (95% confidence interval=0.66-0.76). Sensitivity analysis confirmed the risk reduction with an overall estimate of the rate ratio between 20% and 40%.
CONCLUSION
This study highlights the importance of considering topographical elevation as a geographical and environmental risk factor in order to plan cholera preventive activities linked with water and sanitation in endemic areas. Furthermore, elevation information, among other risk factors, could help to spatially orientate cholera control interventions during an epidemic.
Journal Article > ResearchFull Text
Int J Infect Dis. 2022 September 1; Volume 122; 215-221.; DOI:10.1016/j.ijid.2022.05.039
Zheng Q, Luquero FJ, Ciglenecki I, Wamala JF, Abubakar A, et al.
Int J Infect Dis. 2022 September 1; Volume 122; 215-221.; DOI:10.1016/j.ijid.2022.05.039
BACKGROUND
Cholera remains a public health threat but is inequitably distributed across sub-Saharan Africa. Lack of standardized reporting and inconsistent outbreak definitions limit our understanding of cholera outbreak epidemiology.
METHODS
From a database of cholera incidence and mortality, we extracted data from sub-Saharan Africa and reconstructed outbreaks of suspected cholera starting in January 2010 to December 2019 based on location-specific average weekly incidence rate thresholds. We then described the distribution of key outbreak metrics.
RESULTS
We identified 999 suspected cholera outbreaks in 744 regions across 25 sub-Saharan African countries. The outbreak periods accounted for 1.8 billion person-months (2% of the total during this period) from January 2010 to January 2020. Among 692 outbreaks reported from second-level administrative units (e.g., districts), the median attack rate was 0.8 per 1000 people (interquartile range (IQR), 0.3-2.4 per 1000), the median epidemic duration was 13 weeks (IQR, 8-19), and the median early outbreak reproductive number was 1.8 (range, 1.1-3.5). Larger attack rates were associated with longer times to outbreak peak, longer epidemic durations, and lower case fatality risks.
CONCLUSIONS
This study provides a baseline from which the progress toward cholera control and essential statistics to inform outbreak management in sub-Saharan Africa can be monitored.
Cholera remains a public health threat but is inequitably distributed across sub-Saharan Africa. Lack of standardized reporting and inconsistent outbreak definitions limit our understanding of cholera outbreak epidemiology.
METHODS
From a database of cholera incidence and mortality, we extracted data from sub-Saharan Africa and reconstructed outbreaks of suspected cholera starting in January 2010 to December 2019 based on location-specific average weekly incidence rate thresholds. We then described the distribution of key outbreak metrics.
RESULTS
We identified 999 suspected cholera outbreaks in 744 regions across 25 sub-Saharan African countries. The outbreak periods accounted for 1.8 billion person-months (2% of the total during this period) from January 2010 to January 2020. Among 692 outbreaks reported from second-level administrative units (e.g., districts), the median attack rate was 0.8 per 1000 people (interquartile range (IQR), 0.3-2.4 per 1000), the median epidemic duration was 13 weeks (IQR, 8-19), and the median early outbreak reproductive number was 1.8 (range, 1.1-3.5). Larger attack rates were associated with longer times to outbreak peak, longer epidemic durations, and lower case fatality risks.
CONCLUSIONS
This study provides a baseline from which the progress toward cholera control and essential statistics to inform outbreak management in sub-Saharan Africa can be monitored.
Journal Article > Meta-AnalysisFull Text
PLOS One. 2013 July 22; Volume 8 (Issue 7); e68995.; DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0068995
Pillay P, Ford NP, Shubber Z, Ferrand RA
PLOS One. 2013 July 22; Volume 8 (Issue 7); e68995.; DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0068995
INTRODUCTION
There is conflicting evidence and practice regarding the use of the non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTI) efavirenz (EFV) and nevirapine (NVP) in first-line antiretroviral therapy (ART).
METHODS
We systematically reviewed virological outcomes in HIV-1 infected, treatment-naive patients on regimens containing EFV versus NVP from randomised trials and observational cohort studies. Data sources include PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials and conference proceedings of the International AIDS Society, Conference on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections, between 1996 to May 2013. Relative risks (RR) and 95% confidence intervals were synthesized using random-effects meta-analysis. Heterogeneity was assessed using the I(2) statistic, and subgroup analyses performed to assess the potential influence of study design, duration of follow up, location, and tuberculosis treatment. Sensitivity analyses explored the potential influence of different dosages of NVP and different viral load thresholds.
RESULTS
Of 5011 citations retrieved, 38 reports of studies comprising 114 391 patients were included for review. EFV was significantly less likely than NVP to lead to virologic failure in both trials (RR 0.85 [0.73-0.99] I(2) = 0%) and observational studies (RR 0.65 [0.59-0.71] I(2) = 54%). EFV was more likely to achieve virologic success than NVP, though marginally significant, in both randomised controlled trials (RR 1.04 [1.00-1.08] I(2) = 0%) and observational studies (RR 1.06 [1.00-1.12] I(2) = 68%).
CONCLUSION
EFV-based first line ART is significantly less likely to lead to virologic failure compared to NVP-based ART. This finding supports the use of EFV as the preferred NNRTI in first-line treatment regimen for HIV treatment, particularly in resource limited settings.
There is conflicting evidence and practice regarding the use of the non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTI) efavirenz (EFV) and nevirapine (NVP) in first-line antiretroviral therapy (ART).
METHODS
We systematically reviewed virological outcomes in HIV-1 infected, treatment-naive patients on regimens containing EFV versus NVP from randomised trials and observational cohort studies. Data sources include PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials and conference proceedings of the International AIDS Society, Conference on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections, between 1996 to May 2013. Relative risks (RR) and 95% confidence intervals were synthesized using random-effects meta-analysis. Heterogeneity was assessed using the I(2) statistic, and subgroup analyses performed to assess the potential influence of study design, duration of follow up, location, and tuberculosis treatment. Sensitivity analyses explored the potential influence of different dosages of NVP and different viral load thresholds.
RESULTS
Of 5011 citations retrieved, 38 reports of studies comprising 114 391 patients were included for review. EFV was significantly less likely than NVP to lead to virologic failure in both trials (RR 0.85 [0.73-0.99] I(2) = 0%) and observational studies (RR 0.65 [0.59-0.71] I(2) = 54%). EFV was more likely to achieve virologic success than NVP, though marginally significant, in both randomised controlled trials (RR 1.04 [1.00-1.08] I(2) = 0%) and observational studies (RR 1.06 [1.00-1.12] I(2) = 68%).
CONCLUSION
EFV-based first line ART is significantly less likely to lead to virologic failure compared to NVP-based ART. This finding supports the use of EFV as the preferred NNRTI in first-line treatment regimen for HIV treatment, particularly in resource limited settings.
Journal Article > ResearchFull Text
Public Health Action. 2019 December 21
Nyagadza B, Kudya N, Mbofana E, Masaka S, Garone DB, et al.
Public Health Action. 2019 December 21
Background: Demand for viral load (VL) monitoring is expected to increase; however, implementation of the multifaceted VL testing poses numerous challenges. We report experiences from Médecins Sans Frontiéres (MSF) and partners in the scale-up of HIV VL in collaboration with the Ministry of Health and Child Care (MoHCC) of Zimbabwe.
Methods: A retrospective data review of routine reports from MSF-supported health facilities in Manicaland Province (Zimbabwe) was conducted. These secondary aggregate data were triangulated, and emerging themes of lessons learnt from VL monitoring were shared.
Results: A VL testing coverage of 63% (5966/9456) was achieved among the 40 health facilities, together with a switch rate to second-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) of 46.4% (108/233). The key enablers to scaling-up the VL monitoring were well-equipped and supported VL laboratories, the operationalisation of the on-the-job clinical mentoring and systematic weaning off of better performing health facilities. Concerted efforts from different implementing partners and funders in the HIV programme, and close collaboration with MoHCC were pivotal.
Conclusion: Our experience indicates that clinical mentoring is effective, and resulted in high VL testing coverage and up-skilling primary health care workers in VL monitoring. Attention must be focused on innovations for improving VL result utilisation, especially the identification and management of patients who fail ART.
Methods: A retrospective data review of routine reports from MSF-supported health facilities in Manicaland Province (Zimbabwe) was conducted. These secondary aggregate data were triangulated, and emerging themes of lessons learnt from VL monitoring were shared.
Results: A VL testing coverage of 63% (5966/9456) was achieved among the 40 health facilities, together with a switch rate to second-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) of 46.4% (108/233). The key enablers to scaling-up the VL monitoring were well-equipped and supported VL laboratories, the operationalisation of the on-the-job clinical mentoring and systematic weaning off of better performing health facilities. Concerted efforts from different implementing partners and funders in the HIV programme, and close collaboration with MoHCC were pivotal.
Conclusion: Our experience indicates that clinical mentoring is effective, and resulted in high VL testing coverage and up-skilling primary health care workers in VL monitoring. Attention must be focused on innovations for improving VL result utilisation, especially the identification and management of patients who fail ART.
Conference Material > Abstract
Oza S, Harris P, Ansbro E, Perel P, Frieden M, et al.
MSF Scientific Days International 2020: Research. 2020 May 20
INTRODUCTION
Globally, hypertension is responsible for approximately half of all heart disease and stroke deaths. Over 75% of these deaths occur in low- and middle-income countries. However globally, hypertension awareness, treatment, and control remain low (39%, 29%, and 10%, respectively). Reasons for poor control are multifactorial, and include patient-specific factors such as poor adherence, often associated with high pill-burden regimens. Health system factors are also important and may include the use of complex algorithms, leading to clinical inertia amongst healthcare workers. Fixed-dose combination (FDC) medications may be one way of reducing pill burden and simplifying clinical algorithms. To understand the use of multiple drug classes in the management of hypertension we analysed antihypertensive prescribing patterns and blood pressure (BP) control in cohorts from MSF treatment programmes in Jordan and Zimbabwe to determine the proportion of patients who may benefit from a FDC (those currently treated with more than two drug classes) and the potential extent of clinical inertia.
METHODS
We used routine, retrospective data from two cohorts of adult patients with hypertension; one from Jordan, a semi-urban clinic managed by doctors (using data from October 2016 to December 2018) and one from Zimbabwe, a rural setting managed by nurses (data from May 2016 to July 2019). We carried out descriptive analyses of prescribing patterns and their relationship with BP control.
Ethics
This study was approved by the ethics committees of Jordan and Zimbabwe and the MSF Ethics Review Board.
RESULTS
We analysed data from 3305 and 3957 hypertensive patients from Jordan and Zimbabwe respectively; with median ages in Jordan 61 (interquartile range, IQR, 53-69) and in Zimbabwe 63 (IQR 53-70); the majority were female (62.7% and 80.4% respectively). Retention and BP control at 12 months were 95% and 77% (Jordan) and 59% and 42.3% (Zimbabwe). The proportion of patients on two, three, or four-five antihypertensive drug classes at baseline were 42%, 19%, 4% in Jordan and 46%, 7%, <1% in Zimbabwe. At 12 months follow-up, proportions were 40%, 28%, 11% in Jordan and 46%, 17%, 1% in Zimbabwe. Proportions with controlled BP at 12 months on two, three, or four-five drug classes were 71%, 64% and 55% in Jordan, and 40%, 27%, 25% in Zimbabwe. No medication change for uncontrolled BP was made at the next visit for 1,843 (79.3%) of 2,325 visits in Jordan, and 4,763 (63.5%) of 7,497 visits in Zimbabwe. This included 545 (28.6%) and 2,549 (53.5%) visits with uncontrolled stage two or three hypertension respectively.
CONCLUSION
Most patients with hypertension required more than two antihypertensive medications, but a significant proportion persisted with uncontrolled BP. No additional class of antihypertensive was given in the majority of visits by patients with uncontrolled BP, suggesting possible clinical inertia by healthcare workers. Despite recent inclusion of FDC’s in MSF guidelines and WHO’s Essential Medicines List, their lack of inclusion in national guidelines, and procurement challenges, have hindered MSF’s implementation of FDC’s. Demonstrating feasibility of FDC use in MSF pilot projects could play an important role in furthering uptake.
Conflicts of Interest
None declared.
Globally, hypertension is responsible for approximately half of all heart disease and stroke deaths. Over 75% of these deaths occur in low- and middle-income countries. However globally, hypertension awareness, treatment, and control remain low (39%, 29%, and 10%, respectively). Reasons for poor control are multifactorial, and include patient-specific factors such as poor adherence, often associated with high pill-burden regimens. Health system factors are also important and may include the use of complex algorithms, leading to clinical inertia amongst healthcare workers. Fixed-dose combination (FDC) medications may be one way of reducing pill burden and simplifying clinical algorithms. To understand the use of multiple drug classes in the management of hypertension we analysed antihypertensive prescribing patterns and blood pressure (BP) control in cohorts from MSF treatment programmes in Jordan and Zimbabwe to determine the proportion of patients who may benefit from a FDC (those currently treated with more than two drug classes) and the potential extent of clinical inertia.
METHODS
We used routine, retrospective data from two cohorts of adult patients with hypertension; one from Jordan, a semi-urban clinic managed by doctors (using data from October 2016 to December 2018) and one from Zimbabwe, a rural setting managed by nurses (data from May 2016 to July 2019). We carried out descriptive analyses of prescribing patterns and their relationship with BP control.
Ethics
This study was approved by the ethics committees of Jordan and Zimbabwe and the MSF Ethics Review Board.
RESULTS
We analysed data from 3305 and 3957 hypertensive patients from Jordan and Zimbabwe respectively; with median ages in Jordan 61 (interquartile range, IQR, 53-69) and in Zimbabwe 63 (IQR 53-70); the majority were female (62.7% and 80.4% respectively). Retention and BP control at 12 months were 95% and 77% (Jordan) and 59% and 42.3% (Zimbabwe). The proportion of patients on two, three, or four-five antihypertensive drug classes at baseline were 42%, 19%, 4% in Jordan and 46%, 7%, <1% in Zimbabwe. At 12 months follow-up, proportions were 40%, 28%, 11% in Jordan and 46%, 17%, 1% in Zimbabwe. Proportions with controlled BP at 12 months on two, three, or four-five drug classes were 71%, 64% and 55% in Jordan, and 40%, 27%, 25% in Zimbabwe. No medication change for uncontrolled BP was made at the next visit for 1,843 (79.3%) of 2,325 visits in Jordan, and 4,763 (63.5%) of 7,497 visits in Zimbabwe. This included 545 (28.6%) and 2,549 (53.5%) visits with uncontrolled stage two or three hypertension respectively.
CONCLUSION
Most patients with hypertension required more than two antihypertensive medications, but a significant proportion persisted with uncontrolled BP. No additional class of antihypertensive was given in the majority of visits by patients with uncontrolled BP, suggesting possible clinical inertia by healthcare workers. Despite recent inclusion of FDC’s in MSF guidelines and WHO’s Essential Medicines List, their lack of inclusion in national guidelines, and procurement challenges, have hindered MSF’s implementation of FDC’s. Demonstrating feasibility of FDC use in MSF pilot projects could play an important role in furthering uptake.
Conflicts of Interest
None declared.
Journal Article > CommentaryFull Text
Public Health Action. 2013 June 21; Volume 3 (Issue 2); DOI:10.5588/pha.13.0002
Mlilo N, Sandy C, Harries AD, Kumar AMV, Masuka N, et al.
Public Health Action. 2013 June 21; Volume 3 (Issue 2); DOI:10.5588/pha.13.0002
Journal Article > ResearchFull Text
Pediatrics. 2012 September 17; Volume 130 (Issue 4); e966-e977.; DOI:10.1542/peds.2011-3020
Gsponer T, Weigel R, Davies MA, Bolton C, Moultrie H, et al.
Pediatrics. 2012 September 17; Volume 130 (Issue 4); e966-e977.; DOI:10.1542/peds.2011-3020
BACKGROUND
Poor growth is an indication for antiretroviral therapy (ART) and a criterion for treatment failure. We examined variability in growth response to ART in 12 programs in Malawi, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Mozambique, and South Africa.
METHODS
Treatment naïve children aged <10 years were included. We calculated weight for age z scores (WAZs), height for age z scores (HAZs), and weight for height z scores (WHZs) up to 3 years after starting ART, by using the World Health Organization standards. Multilevel regression models were used.
RESULTS
A total of 17 990 children (range, 238–8975) were followed for 36 181 person-years. At ART initiation, most children were underweight (50%) and stunted (66%). Lower baseline WAZ, HAZ, and WHZ were the most important determinants of faster catch-up growth on ART. WAZ and WHZ increased rapidly in the first year and stagnated or reversed thereafter, whereas HAZ increased continuously over time. Three years after starting ART, WAZ ranged from −2.80 (95% confidence interval [CI]: −3.66 to −2.02) to −1.98 (95% CI: −2.41 to −1.48) in children with a baseline z score < −3 and from −0.79 (95% CI: −1.62 to 0.02) to 0.05 (95% CI: −0.42 to 0.51) in children with a baseline WAZ ≥ −1. For HAZ, the corresponding range was −2.33 (95% CI: −2.62 to −2.02) to −1.27 (95% CI: −1.58 to −1.00) for baseline HAZ < −3 and −0.24 (95% CI: −0.56 to 0.15) to 0.84 (95% CI: 0.53 to 1.16) for HAZ ≥ −1.
CONCLUSIONS
Despite a sustained growth response and catch-up growth in children with advanced HIV disease treated with ART, normal weights and heights are not achieved over 3 years of ART.
Poor growth is an indication for antiretroviral therapy (ART) and a criterion for treatment failure. We examined variability in growth response to ART in 12 programs in Malawi, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Mozambique, and South Africa.
METHODS
Treatment naïve children aged <10 years were included. We calculated weight for age z scores (WAZs), height for age z scores (HAZs), and weight for height z scores (WHZs) up to 3 years after starting ART, by using the World Health Organization standards. Multilevel regression models were used.
RESULTS
A total of 17 990 children (range, 238–8975) were followed for 36 181 person-years. At ART initiation, most children were underweight (50%) and stunted (66%). Lower baseline WAZ, HAZ, and WHZ were the most important determinants of faster catch-up growth on ART. WAZ and WHZ increased rapidly in the first year and stagnated or reversed thereafter, whereas HAZ increased continuously over time. Three years after starting ART, WAZ ranged from −2.80 (95% confidence interval [CI]: −3.66 to −2.02) to −1.98 (95% CI: −2.41 to −1.48) in children with a baseline z score < −3 and from −0.79 (95% CI: −1.62 to 0.02) to 0.05 (95% CI: −0.42 to 0.51) in children with a baseline WAZ ≥ −1. For HAZ, the corresponding range was −2.33 (95% CI: −2.62 to −2.02) to −1.27 (95% CI: −1.58 to −1.00) for baseline HAZ < −3 and −0.24 (95% CI: −0.56 to 0.15) to 0.84 (95% CI: 0.53 to 1.16) for HAZ ≥ −1.
CONCLUSIONS
Despite a sustained growth response and catch-up growth in children with advanced HIV disease treated with ART, normal weights and heights are not achieved over 3 years of ART.